New York seems to have more than its fair share of knuckleheads. Paul Krugman and Tom Friedman are both stalwart columnists in The New York Times. And there’s staff writer James Surowiecki at the New Yorker magazine. More about that in a minute…
[First] we return to wondering about money.
Not that we care especially about money. We are more interested in what it represents… and how it helps us understand the world we live in. Money establishes a relationship between people. One owes. One is owed. One can buy. One must sell. One employs. Another is employed.
You don’t really need much to live. Food, clothing, shelter, a WiFi connection. After you have the basics, everything else is no longer about survival. It’s about status: the relationship between you and your fellow men.
Here in the French countryside, we were sitting on the veranda thinking, “You don’t really need much to live well,” we explained to the children (who have come for a couple of weeks of vacation). “All you need is a nice country house… and with a well-stocked wine cellar. “And a good garden. You need homegrown food to eat. So you need a gardener… at least part-time… and a good cook. “Yes, you don’t need much.”
It takes more than money to live well. You could live much better than most people live… on little money. Just get a quaint cottage in West Virginia. Plant a nice garden. And learn to cook! But most people figure they need more money. They want large suburban houses, sleek automobiles, mobile phones and big-screen TVs… not to mention health insurance.
You can buy that sort of stuff by getting a job that pays well. But why do so many jobs pay so poorly? Here’s James Surowiecki in the New Yorker:
In inflation-adjusted terms, the minimum wage, though higher than it was a decade ago, is still well below its 1968 peak (when it was worth about $10.70 an hour in today’s dollars), and it’s still poverty-level pay.
To make matters worse, most fast-food and retail work is part-time, and the weak job market has eroded what little bargaining power low-wage workers had: Their earnings actually fell between 2009 and last year, according to the National Employment Law Project…
As a recent study by the economists John Schmitt and Janelle Jones has shown, low-wage workers are older and better educated than ever. More important, more of them are relying on their paychecks not for pin money or to pay for Friday-night dates but, rather, to support families.
Forty years ago, there was no expectation that fast-food or discount-retail jobs would provide a living wage, because these were not jobs that, in the main, adult heads of household did. Today, low-wage workers provide 46% of their family’s income. It is that change which is driving the demand for higher pay.
Surowiecki almost always misunderstands things. Years ago, he wrote an article on gold, pointing out that gold prices go up and down. He concluded that this made gold no better for preserving wealth than any other investment. But Surowiecki missed the point. Although the gold price goes up and down, gold never goes away and always has value. Shares in Kodak don’t. More importantly, gold keeps an economy honest… and productive.
Until 1971, when President Nixon took the U.S. off the gold standard, America’s largest employers were companies that made things. In Baltimore, the General Motors assembly plant and Bethlehem Steel at Sparrows Point could afford to pay high wages, because they were very productive.
Say’s law: You buy products with products. If you want to buy stuff, in other words, you’ve got to produce stuff. But after 1971, the new money system changed the nature of the U.S. economy.
The Nirvana of Rising Prices
Today’s largest employers don’t make stuff. They are low-margin businesses in the service sector, retailers and fast-food chains. As Surowiecki points out, they can’t afford much higher wages.
What then is the solution to low-paying service-sector jobs? Tax credits, he says. And national infrastructure projects: new highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, and so forth. A higher minimum wage. “And we really need the economy to grow faster.” Great!
And get this: “You have to get consumers to accept significantly higher, and steadily rising, prices.” Hmmm…
How are people who don’t earn much going to be able to pay higher prices? No explanation given. No mention of making things. No mention of productivity or investment. It is amazing how little thinking goes into this sort of claptrap. It wouldn’t take Surowiecki long to realize that higher wages do not get you anywhere if prices rise, too.
What you really need is higher productivity. How do you get that? You need to save money (rather than spend it) and invest in things that produce more – providing the profits necessary to pay more to the people who produce it. Really? Is that so difficult to understand?
For the last 42 years, the feds have encouraged Americans to spend their money, rather than save it. And they’ve encouraged people to buy things made by foreigners, rather than make things themselves.
This was the consequence (perhaps unintended) of Tricky Dicky’s pure paper-money system. When you can print up pieces of paper and call it “money”… you don’t need to make things! You can just go straight out and buy them!
The irony is that taking gold out ofAmerica’s money system led to the very problems – low wages in the service sector – that Surowiecki is now trying to solve.
Stansberry Note: Why do so many high-profile “knuckleheads” seem to misunderstand everything when it comes to money and the economy?
A version of this article first appeared on August 11th in the S&A Master Series, published by Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, an independent investment research firm. (Originally published August 6th in Bill Bonner’s free daily e-letter Diary of a Rogue Economist.) You can visit them at www.stansberryresearch.com.